2024 Open Championship odds, picks, field: Surprising predictions by advanced golf model that nailed 13 majors (2024)

Scottie Scheffler will try to add another victory at the 2024 Open Championship. The world No. 1 has 12 top-10 finishes in 2024, including five PGA Tour wins and his second career victory at the Masters. Luck eluded Scheffler last week, however, when he finished T41 at the U.S. Open for his only result outside of the top-20 on the season. Still, Scheffler is the 5-1 favorite atop the 2024 Open Championship odds. The Open 2024 tees off Thursday, July 18 from Royal Troon Golf Club in Scotland.

World No. 2 Rory McIlroy is also coming off a tough outing at the U.S. Open and is 13-2 in the 2024 Open Championship field. Should you back one of these favorites to win the Open Championship 2024? Before locking in your 2024 Open Championship picks, be sure tosee the golf predictions and projected leaderboard from the proven computer model at SportsLine.

Our proprietary model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, has been red-hot since the PGA Tour resumed in June 2020. In fact, the model is up nearly $9,500 on its best bets since the restart, nailing tournament after tournament.

This same model has also nailed a whopping 13 majors entering the weekend, including the 2024 Masters, its third Masters in a row, and this year's PGA Championship and U.S. Open. Anyone who has followed it has seen massive returns.

Now with the Open Championship 2024 field locked in, SportsLine simulated the tournament 10,000 times, and the results were surprising. Head to SportsLine now to see the projected leaderboard.

Top 2024 Open Championship predictions

One major surprise the model is calling for at the 2024 Open Championship: Rory McIlroy (13-2), the 2014 Open Championship winner and one of the top favorites, stumbles and doesn't even crack the top five. McIlroy's 10-year major championship drought is well documented, which made his mishaps down the stretch of the U.S. Open even more painful. He missed multiple putts within four feet in the final three holes, leading to a brutal runner-up finish.

It is going to be difficult for McIlroy to overcome those lingering emotions in the final major of the year, especially since the Open Championship brings its own unique pressure for the Northern Irishman. He has finished outside the top 40 in two of his last four appearances at this tournament, and he did not crack the top 10 at the Masters or PGA Championship earlier this season. McIlroy ranks outside the top 50 on the PGA Tour in GIR percentage, which is another reason why the model is fading him in this year's final major. See who else to fade here.

Another surprise: Jon Rahm, a 24-1 longshot, makes a strong run at the title. He has a much better chance to win it all than his odds imply, so he's a target for anyone looking for a huge payday. The Spaniard was forced to withdraw from the 2024 U.S. Open field due to a foot injury, but he is expected to be healthy in time to compete at the Open Championship, where he finished T2 last year.

Rahm had finished in the top 10 in seven out of eight worldwide starts leading up to the PGA Championship. He had made 18 straight major cuts before missing the weekend at the PGA Championship and having to withdraw from the U.S. Open, so he will have plenty of motivation to get back on the links and compete.See who else to back here.

How to make 2024 Open Championship picks

The model is also targeting two other golfers with odds of 20-1 or longer to make a strong run at the title. Anyone who backs these longshots could hit it big.You can only see the model's picks here.

Who will win the 2024 Open Championship, and which longshots will stun the golfing world? Check out the Open Championship 2024 odds below and then visit SportsLine to see the projected Open Championship leaderboard, all from the model that's nailed 13 golf majors, including the last three Masters and all three majors this year.

2024 Open Championship odds, field

Get full 2024 Open Championship picks, best bets and predictions here.

Scottie Scheffler 5-1
Rory McIlroy 13-2
Bryson DeChambeau 11-1
Xander Schauffele 14-1
Ludvig Aberg 14-1
Viktor Hovland 16-1
Collin Morikawa 16-1
Tommy Fleetwood 21-1
Jon Rahm 24-1
Shane Lowry 29-1
Brooks Koepka 30-1
Patrick Cantlay 31-1
Cameron Smith 31-1
Joaquin Niemann 33-1
Matt Fitzpatrick 34-1
Tony Finau 34-1
Max Homa 38-1
Tom Kim 40-1
Tyrrell Hatton 40-1
Justin Thomas 41-1
Will Zalatoris 41-1
Hideki Matsuyama 42-1
Robert Macintyre 45-1
Jordan Spieth 47-1
Cameron Young 50-1
Jason Day 50-1
Brian Harman 50-1
Dustin Johnson 50-1
Wyndham Clark 50-1
Min Woo Lee 55-1
Sam Burns 65-1
Louis Oosthuizen 65-1
Sahith Theegala 65-1
Patrick Reed 65-1
Sung-Jae Im 65-1
Corey Conners 65-1
Si Woo Kim 80-1
Adam Scott 80-1
Rickie Fowler 80-1
Justin Rose 100-1
Thomas Detry 100-1
Adrian Meronk 100-1
Tiger Woods 100-1
Padraig Harrington 110-1
Ryan Fox 110-1
Seamus Power 120-1
Kurt Kitayama 120-1
Russell Henley 120-1
Jordan Smith 120-1
Talor Gooch 120-1
Sergio Garcia 120-1
Matthew Jordan 120-1
Tom Hoge 140-1
Billy Horschel 140-1
Alex Noren 140-1
Phil Mickelson 150-1
Gary Woodland 150-1
Mito Pereira 160-1
J.T. Poston 170-1
Keegan Bradley 170-1
Thomas Pieters 170-1
Abraham Ancer 170-1
Matt Wallace 170-1
Sam Bennett 210-1
Keith Mitchell 210-1
Harris English 210-1
Danny Willett 210-1
Alex Fitzpatrick 210-1
Chris Kirk 210-1
Taylor Moore 280-1
Stewart Kink 300-1
Charl Schwartzel 300-1

2024 Open Championship odds, picks, field: Surprising predictions by advanced golf model that nailed 13 majors (2024)

FAQs

Where is the 2024 Open Championship? ›

July 18-21, 2024 – The 152nd Open Championship is scheduled to take place at Royal Troon Golf Club in Scotland. July 16-23, 2023 – Brian Harman wins the 151st Open Championship at Royal Liverpool in Hoylake, Wirral, England, for his first major title.

Where is the US Senior open? ›

This week he will make his senior debut. Westwood, 51, is set to compete in the U.S. Senior Open at Newport Country Club in Rhode Island.

How to watch US Senior open? ›

How to watch (all times in ET)
  1. Thursday: Noon-3 p.m. (Golf Channel); 3-5 p.m. (Peaco*ck)
  2. Friday: Noon-3 p.m. (Golf Channel); 3-5 p.m. (Peaco*ck)
  3. Saturday: Noon-3 p.m. (NBC), 3-5 p.m. (Golf Channel)
  4. Sunday: 12:30-3:30 p.m. (NBC), 3:30-5:30 p.m. (Golf Channel)
9 hours ago

Where is the 2026 Open Championship? ›

The 154th Open in 2026 at Royal Birkdale Golf Club in Southport, England shall be a memorable and much-anticipated championship.

Where is the 2025 Open Championship? ›

The Open Championship 2025 will be played at Royal Portrush Golf Club in Northern Ireland, which remains the only club outside of mainland Britain to host it.

What is the cut for senior US Open? ›

While the event is technically open to amateurs with an index of 2.4 or below, it has been predominantly dominated by professionals. Each year, double-digit numbers of amateurs advance through the 18-hole qualifying, but there are usually just a couple left standing when the 36-hole cut is made.

Can anyone qualify for the Senior US Open? ›

Open to any professional and amateur golfer who is 50 years of age as of June 27 and whose Handicap Index® does not exceed 2.4.

Where is the 2024 US Senior Open? ›

A year later, it was decided that the 2024 competition would be held in Newport for the fifth time in its history. According to the Newport Country Club website, the club has existed since 1893 and was the site of one of the first senior PGA events in the 1970s.

Where is the U.S. Open being played in 2025? ›

2025 U.S. Open: Oakmont Country Club (P.A.), June 9-15

Experience the U.S. Open from this premium climate-controlled facility located adjacent to the iconic 3rd fairway.

Where will the 2024 U.S. Open Golf tournament be played? ›

Where is the 2024 Tour championship being played? ›

East Lake Golf Club Atlanta

Where will the 2025 PGA Championship be held? ›

The 2025 PGA Championship will be held at Quail Hollow Club in Charlotte, North Carolina from Monday, May 12 through Sunday, May 18. It is the second time that PGA of America has chosen Quail Hollow to serve as the host site for the PGA Championship.

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